If a federal election was held today, the Conservatives would roll over the Liberals to form a government, according to a Forum Research poll.
Forum found 46% of voters would cast ballots for Andrew Scheer’s Conservatives, while Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and his Liberals could only count on the support of 30% of the electorate. Only 18% of respondents said they would vote for Jagmeet Singh’s NDP party.
“The Conservatives have strengthened their lead over the governing Liberals going into the summer break,” said Lorne Bozinoff, president of Forum Research.
“The prime minister is seeing a high level of disapproval right now that could account for the lack of support for his party.”
Trudeau has faced criticism following a long list of gaffes.
On a recent official trip to India, a Sikh extremist convicted of the attempted murder of an Indian politician was extended an invitation to dinner with Trudeau at the Canadian High Commissioner’s residence in New Delhi. The Trudeau government has also gone to court to fight Canadian veterans over benefits and has said they are asking for too much.
The Trudeau Liberals triggered outrage when they issued an apology and handed a $10.5-million settlement to convicted al-Qaida terrorist Omar Khadr.
Such examples may explain why Trudeau’s disapproval rating is up to more than 50% of those polled.
Half of the respondents who said they would vote for the Conservatives were male, between 45-65, and they earned $60,000-$80,000.
One-third of those who said they would cast a ballot for the Liberals held a college or university degree and most were from the Atlantic provinces. One-third of the NDP supporters were under 34 and lower-income earners.
The survey projects the Conservatives would have a majority government, but the poll isn’t designed to predict a future outcome — only an opinion at one point in time.
“Actual results depend on the parties’ ability to get their voters out,” according to Forum.
The next federal election is Oct. 2019.
The telephone poll — conducted May 15-16– randomly selected 1,484 voters. The results are considered accurate within 3%, 19 times out of 20.