National Tracker: Liberals 43%, Conservatives 40%

 

A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals leading with 43% (-2) to the Conservatives 40% (+2).

The rolling survey, conducted from April 7 to April 9, 2025, used interactive voice response technology to poll 1,500 Canadian voters. The results have a margin of error of +/- 2.53%, 19 times out of 20.

The race tightened last night as the Conservatives posted a strong performance in the tracking. Overall, the Liberals are down two points while the Conservatives are up two, with the other parties holding steady - the NDP remains at 8%, and the Bloc is unchanged at 5%.

It's worth remembering that any single day could mark the beginning of a trend - or just be statistical noise. So before breaking out the blue label, it's best to wait for tomorrow’s numbers (and maybe the day after) to see if this narrowing holds.

In Quebec, the Bloc Québécois has climbed from the high teens to 23% - closer to where we'd expect them, though still on the lower end. Even so, the Liberals continue to lead in the province by a solid 13-point margin.

https://press.liaisonstrategies.ca/national-tracker-liberals-44-conservatives-39-3/?ref=liaison-strategies-newsletter